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FTN Economic Weekly May 1, 2015: Fed Says Ignore GDP Stumble, GDP Details Say Not so Fast by Chief Economist Chris Low, Economist Jay Morelock, and Economic Analyst Sophia Kearney-Lederman
Fed Says Ignore GDP Stumble, GDP Details Say Not so Fast
The economy tanked in the first quarter. But don’t worry, the Fed says it was transitory. In fact, it increasingly appears the only thing not transitory in the Fed’s universe is the falling unemployment rate. Yes, it stopped falling in Q1, but apparently that was transitory, too. By deeming every unexpected development transitory, the Fed is suggesting its forecast is more real than current reality. If they’re right, they’ll look pretty smart, but if...click here to read more.
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